Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.138412 0.204515 0.280812 0.372937 0.479045 0.595654 0.731849
2025-11-23 0.047432 0.118338 0.218822 0.356982 0.531410 0.736331 0.988399
2025-11-30 0.018679 0.084641 0.197120 0.366285 0.591698 0.866002 1.212042
2025-12-07 0.003647 0.055719 0.170940 0.361732 0.629249 0.964982 1.397521
2025-12-14 NaN 0.031974 0.141603 0.344639 0.644446 1.031837 1.540527
2025-12-21 NaN 0.026260 0.143540 0.373443 0.721038 1.175888 1.777965
2025-12-28 NaN 0.021899 0.146289 0.402553 0.797576 1.319719 2.015220
2026-01-04 NaN 0.015918 0.141672 0.417908 0.853782 1.436766 2.218961
2026-01-11 NaN 0.015044 0.151107 0.457495 0.945111 1.600074 2.481110
2026-01-18 NaN 0.012725 0.154709 0.486372 1.020711 1.742735 2.717486
2026-01-25 NaN 0.007771 0.145128 0.490016 1.058414 1.834825 2.889783
2026-02-01 NaN 0.001820 0.118322 0.457323 1.039480 1.849821 2.963064
2026-02-08 NaN NaN 0.090045 0.417150 1.008640 1.850557 3.021914
2026-02-15 NaN NaN 0.075984 0.403621 1.018083 1.905861 3.151269
2026-02-22 NaN NaN 0.072179 0.412631 1.063204 2.010157 3.343955
2026-03-01 NaN NaN 0.063553 0.408020 1.085269 2.081907 3.493986
2026-03-08 NaN NaN 0.050997 0.389722 1.083010 2.118529 3.597267
2026-03-15 NaN NaN 0.055823 0.420452 1.164343 2.274144 3.857986
2026-03-22 NaN NaN 0.060716 0.451416 1.246184 2.430638 4.120083
2026-03-29 NaN NaN 0.060582 0.467728 1.302951 2.551492 4.335192
2026-04-05 NaN NaN 0.069192 0.509704 1.403934 2.735605 4.634277
2026-04-12 NaN NaN 0.073892 0.540263 1.485382 2.891966 4.896797
2026-04-19 NaN NaN 0.069447 0.544116 1.521027 2.983076 5.073074